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  • 1
    May
    2013
    5:48pm, EDT

    Over half of Americans link extreme weather to climate change, report says

    NASA / NOAA

    This file NOAA's GOES-13 weather satellite image shows the storm system associated with Superstorm Sandy covering the northeastern United States before landfall.

    By John Roach, Contributing Writer, NBC News

    Six months after Superstorm Sandy killed dozens of people and caused an estimated $50 billion in damage on the East Coast, a majority — 58 percent — of Americans see a connection between recent changes in the weather and global climate change, according to a new report.

    "People are beginning to recognize a pattern of extreme weather across the country and are themselves saying 'Aha, I wonder if climate change has something to do with that,'" Anthony Leiserowitz, director of the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication, which released the report today, told NBC News.

    About half the country, he added, believes climate change is affecting specific extreme weather events. For example 50 percent linked climate change to the record warmth in 2012, 49 percent to the ongoing drought in the Midwest and Great Plains, 46 percent to Superstorm Sandy, and 42 percent to Superstorm Nemo.

    Climate scientists are typically careful not to draw too close of an association between climate change and the day-to-day weather, notes Leiserowitz. The standard talking point is that no single weather event is caused by climate change. Still, climate change may be making the usual weather worse.

    "The report provides good evidence for why it is we rely on science rather than public opinion on such matters," Roger Pielke Jr., from the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research at the University of Colorado, said in an email to NBC News. Pielke was not involved with the Yale survey, but has written extensively on climate change policy.

    "The attribution of changes in climate on extremes is a difficult and thorny scientific puzzle requiring long-term data," he added. "Unfortunately, the human experience — in one place at a time and over a generation — is not a solid basis for such attribution."

    In recent years, however, climate science has evolved to the point where some researchers are beginning to see the fingerprint of climate change on individual heat waves, droughts, hurricanes, and other storms.

    Read: Blame blistering heat waves on global warming, study says

    These so-called attribution studies calculate the likelihood that events such as the Russian heat wave of 2010 and the drought in Texas and Oklahoma in 2011 could have occurred in the absence of climate change. 

    The answer is "very, very small ... so that basic line has begun to shift even among the climate science community," Leiserowitz said.

    The American people, he added, "are not empty vessels waiting to be told to think about these issues by scientists or journalists, they are actively interpreting their own experience and what we are seeing in our data is that many Americans are now connecting the dots."

    The connections the public is drawing between extreme weather events and climate change are consistent with the climate science, Leiserowitz said. While climate change doesn't necessarily cause the weather events, adding greenhouse gases to the Earth's weather system has an effect similar to giving steroids to a baseball player: Harder hits. It juices the system, he said.

    And the picture the connected dots present shows climate change making life harder — about two out of three Americans said the weather has been "worse" over the past couple years, which is up 12 percentage points from 2012. Only 11 percent said the weather has gotten better, down 16 points.

    In addition, just over half believe extreme weather will cause a natural disaster in their community in the next year.

    That said, only one in three Americans are actually prepared for an extreme weather event, highlighting the need for people to develop an emergency plan and kit and get "ready for the unknown event that is going to happen in your lifetime at some point," Leiserowitz said.

    The survey is based on interviews with 1,045 adults between April 8 and 15 with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

    John Roach is a contributing writer for NBC News. To learn more about him, visit his website. 

    37 comments

    An accurate discussion of climate change involves the earth's climate. It is one system, all of the parts we are familiar with are just incremental bits of the a complex equation. It has changed naturally throughout its existence! Have human activities effected this system, of course.

    Show more
    Explore related topics: environment, survey, climate-change, extreme-weather, featured
  • 10
    Feb
    2012
    3:29pm, EST

    Help design the future of robotic cars

    Ford.com

    A screenshot from a Ford video shows how Active Park Assist works in the Flex model. Drivers just need to target a spot, and the car uses ultrasonic range finders to park itself.

    By John Roach, Contributing Writer, NBC News

    Do you want a future where C-3P0 and his robotic pals do the driving as you text your friends the 411 on the next stop in a crosstown pub crawl? Minds capable of making this dream come true want your opinion.

    Students with Stanford University's Center for Automotive Research have prepared on online survey to find out your robotic car desires. After providing a few generic personal details, you can weigh in on questions such as:

    • How much control you're willing to give up to an automated self-driving technology? All? Some, like an airplane pilot? None at all?
    • Would you take a cab driven by a robot? Choices range from "Definitely not" to "Definitely would. There is no way a computer can drive worse than current human cab drivers :)".
    • What are your feelings about a car that could drive you without any input? Choices include: "Excitement – where can I get one," "Party time – I can go out partying without having to worry about drinking and driving," and "Fear – That's it. Run for the hills. The robots are taking over."

    To take the survey, click here. When the results are out this spring, we'll share the details.

    More on robotic cars:

    • Road rage at driverless cars? It's possible
    • GM researching driverless cars
    • With these autonomous cars, who needs to drive?
    • Cars are approaching 'auto' pilot mode
    • Audi to climb Pikes Peak without a driver 
    • Google tests cars that steer without drivers
    • Google self-driving car crash caused by human

    John Roach is a contributing writer for msnbc.com. To learn more about him, check out his website. You can also follow him on Twitter.

    For more of our Future of Technology series, watch the featured video below.

    Ten years of war have given robot developers a chance to refine and improve their bots. Now the robots are finding all sorts of new jobs on the homefront.

    11 comments

    "How much control you're willing to give up to an automated self-driving technology? All? Some, like an airplane pilot? None at all?" This line made me chuckle.

    Show more
    Explore related topics: robot, car, future, science, survey, innovation, featured, driverless

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John Roach, Contributing Writer, NBC News

John Roach is a contributing writer for NBC News. From climate change and mass extinctions to human evolution and deep space, his writing explores life on Earth and its place in the universe. He was a staff writer at the Environmental News Network for several years and has contributed to National Geographic News for more than a decade.

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