Big jump seen in hurricane-related storm surges

Mark Lennihan / AP

In this file photo, Louise McCarthy carts belongings from her flood-damaged home as she passes the charred ruins of other homes in the Breezy Point section of the Queens borough of New York, Nov. 14. A fire destroyed more than 100 homes in the oceanfront community during Superstorm Sandy.

Massive hurricanes that push piles of seawater city-blocks inland when they howl ashore will increase dramatically as the planet continues to warm, according to a new study.

"It is pretty clear" that climate change must affect hurricane activity "somehow," Aslak Grinsted, a climate scientist at the University of Copenhagen, told NBC News. "But it is not clear exactly how."

The study charts a novel path toward an answer. Grinsted and his colleagues combined different types of models used to study the question, validating and weighting their importance based on how well they explained past storm surges seen at six tide gauges along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts.

For every degree Celsius (1.8 degree Fahrenheit) of warming, the scientists find a twofold to sevenfold increase in the type of storm surge seen when Hurricane Katrina struck in 2005. 

In a paper published Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the researchers write their finding "demonstrates a greatly increased Atlantic hurricane surge threat in a warmer world," which will be "further exacerbated by rising sea level."

Competing methods
Over the years, scientists have looked for answers through analysis of satellite observations, ship logs, and other historical documents, which are limited by quality, spatial coverage and time and give varying answers. 

Aslak Grinsted / Niels Bohr Institute

Extreme storm surges like that caused by Hurricane Katrina (2005) become more frequent in globally warming climate new research shows.

Others studies have used climate models focused on sea surface temperature in the main region of the Atlantic Ocean where hurricanes form. These suggest warming seas provide more fuel for hurricanes and produce a corresponding uptick in storm frequency or intensity or both, Grinsted said.

Different models, however, focus on the difference in temperature between the region where hurricanes form and tropical ocean temperatures. These models show little increase in hurricane activity since that temperature difference may not change much as the planet warms.

Grinsted and colleagues combined the two model approaches. "The end result is something that is very consistent with the regional sea surface temperature model," Grinsted said. 

The model also picks up a known decrease in hurricane activity during El Nino years, which is related to warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean and increased wind shear.

Misleading result?
The paper is unlikely to settle the scientific debate over the relationship between hurricane activity and warming. 

Judith Curry, an atmospheric scientist at the Georgia Institute of Technology who is actively researching the relationship, told NBC News in an email that the new paper is "very misleading."

For one, she said their tide gauge dataset is inferior to the standard dataset of landfalling hurricanes maintained by the National Hurricane Center, which makes using the tide gauge to make statistical projections of future storm surges "unconvincing."

Greg Holland, a scientist with the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., said he liked the tide gauge approach. 

"Creative and independent approaches like this provide new information for helping assess hurricane climatologies," he said in an email to NBC News, but added that surge information can only tell so much about a particular storm.

"As Hurricanes Kerry and Ike have clearly shown, major surges can occur from not particularly intense hurricanes," he noted.

John Roach is a contributing writer for NBC News. To learn more about him, check out his website

There are signs of progress at the Jersey Shore after Hurricane Sandy devastated the region, ripping up the boardwalk. NBC's Brian Williams reports.

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JimimdDeleted

Maybe they saw wrorng.

    Reply#2 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:03 PM EDT

    Maybe spell bad?

    Another TeaTard left behind.....

    • 7 votes
    #2.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:43 PM EDT

    More like libitard

      #2.2 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:31 PM EDT

      Celtic - You can determine someone's political affiliation based on a whole 4 words? You must be some kind of genius. Mary probably made a typo, so I think she has an excuse. there's no excuse for your useless comment though. And then your opposite, Randy, goes ahead and has to make a comment from the other side. You two are asstards.

      Nothing more annoying than you political beat-offs trying to bring your useless dribble into every single story...

      • 3 votes
      #2.3 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:36 PM EDT

      How come why when you do say stuff, bad comes out mouth much? We though?

      AKRandy with the zinger of the day! Thanks for that one Randy! Original, succinct and clever.
      What a crew!

        #2.4 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 9:02 AM EDT
        Reply

        Junk science. It is pretty clear - though we don't know. Might be warmer, might be cooler. We have models - so do a lot of 4th graders . . . and Vogue.

          Reply#3 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:06 PM EDT

          You would know science if it bit you in the asz.

          Friends don't let friends be clueless TeaTards....

          • 6 votes
          #3.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:44 PM EDT

          I'm sorry celtic, what does asz spell? You know, since you are so eager to comment on the spelling of others.

          • 1 vote
          #3.2 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:47 PM EDT

          mpa-4893349 It is pretty clear - though we don't know.

          ^POST OF THE DAY^

          /thread

          • 1 vote
          #3.3 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 9:04 AM EDT
          Reply

          Just another theory, problem with theories is there is no consequence for being wrong. Say something often enough until it occurs and then claim your genius when it finally does. Our local weather guy is lucky to get the next days weather right and that is with access to "cutting edge", "high definition", blah blah blah doppler guess-dar.

          • 1 vote
          #4 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:10 PM EDT

          Please learn the difference between weather and climate.

          • 7 votes
          #4.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:45 PM EDT

          TeaTards hate science.

          It scares them....

          • 5 votes
          #4.2 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:39 PM EDT

          It's the gullible that believes everything that scientists say. It was scientists that said for years that trans-fats were good for us. And the same scientists that have for so long said that saturated fats were bad for us. But... OMG, they were wrong. There has been an awful lot of "science" that has been wrong. It's you lib-turds that love to jump on any band-wagon that comes along especially if it costs lots of money.

          • 2 votes
          #4.3 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:52 PM EDT

          Thanks Fred, we appreciate when the crackers try to deal with science.

          • 1 vote
          #4.4 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 11:14 PM EDT

          Yo Jocko, you realize they are synonyms don't you. Nothing is worse than a would be elitist who thinks they are superior because they parrot the popular theories of the day. And the rest, save your political slant, you aren't even close. I have equal contempt for every "political party" ever fashioned. Mark Twain was correct; politicians are like diapers, both need to be changed often, for the sames reasons. Now sit back and and enjoy the climate, or weather, if you prefer.

            #4.5 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 11:46 PM EDT

            Tetrapoda, you seem to have missed my point completely. I am a scientist myself, and I know that you can't take "popularly accepted science" as gospel. Too often what has been accepted as fact has been turned around 180 degrees. Too many people have turned science into their own religion and that is not what science is. What 99% of the people on comment boards like this know about science is what they read on the Internet and in the News and that is not science.

              #4.6 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 7:42 AM EDT

              Fred-3252208.........you said:

              Quote...... I am a scientist myself......EndQuote

              Maybe, a Christian Scientist.

              You folks (apparently) don't realize (actual) scientists don't speak as you do (9th grade level).

              • 1 vote
              #4.7 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 8:58 AM EDT

              Ian... it is people like you that like make replies with no meaning that make comment boards like this a waste of time. I am not a Christian Scientist. I don't deny that the globe is warming right now. But I would argue against anyone who said Global Warming is or is not an anomaly because it depends on the time context of the evidence you are looking at. In the short term, it definitely "looks" like an anomaly. When looking at the evidence in the longer term however, it does not look so much like an anomoly. But either side is making a lot of assumptions in their research data, so they ARE just theories which should not be taken as gospel truth. I am also not saying we should not be responsible in how we treat the environment. I am all for reducing pollution, etc... but we have to be responsible in the way we go about it. Just throwing billions of dollars at it doesn't mean it will fix anything, especially if there is a fair chance this is just part of the bigger long term cycle (and yes... maybe we are adding to it). I'm not on either side of the name calling. I am just for being responsible. And definitely against the politicizing of it and lining the pockets of people who are taking advantage of the situation.

                #4.8 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 12:16 PM EDT

                Oh.....so Fred-3252208, you are a "compassionate" denier.

                Well, Mr. "Scientist", answer these questions:

                1. Do atmospheric greenhouse gases absorb and re-radiate (thermal) infra-red radiation such that the Earth's energy balance changes (becomes warmer)?

                2. Is carbon dioxide a greenhouse gas?

                3. Has the Earth's atmospheric percentage of carbon dioxide been steadily increasing since the beginning of the industrial revolution (e.g since the mass combustion of fossil fuels)?

                4. Does the current fossil fuels combustion technology result in the release of carbon dioxide into our atmosphere?

                5. Can you describe how a rising percentage of carbon dioxide (and other greenhouse gases) in Earth's atmosphere could (all else remaining static) result in ANYTHING OTHER than an increase in Earth's surface temperature?

                You have already conceded that Earth's climate is warming.

                Assuming your affirmative answers to questions #1 - #4 and your inability to address #5 together with your concession, how can any prudent person support the continued dumping of waste (carbon dioxide) into our atmosphere with the knowledge that the resulting global climate warming will result in serious (perhaps catastrophic) consequences?

                This is not even a matter of serious debate at this point. It is only those, such as yourself, who abandon reason in favor of superstition and/or purely short-term economic considerations that continue trying to make the absurd and grossly irresponsible anti-AGW case.

                May shame be upon you.

                BTW---For the sake of whatever integrity you still possess, drop this juvenile "scientist" pretense.

                  #4.9 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 2:09 PM EDT

                  I see that I am arguing with someone who gets their science boiled down for them nice and simple by MSNBC. I understand the science behind the greenhouse effect. Unfortunately nothing is ever as simple as that.

                  You did not get the gist of what I was saying at all. You have become one of those that have decided to take a side and defend their side of the argument at all costs rather than look at it objectively as science. That is politics, not science.

                  I am a geologist and my context is over a much larger period of time than the 11,000 years that most of these studies look at evidence for. Taken in that context, this isn't an anomaly that the earth is warming... it should be. We are coming out of an ice age that began 3 million years ago. I don't disagree that we could possibly be making it a bit worse (as stated above)... but just how much we are making it worse is at question because it does line up with normal warming of the climate based on a more meaningful chunk of the earths history than just the last 11,000 years. Strange weather patterns and climate change are not new things. I would suspect that anytime the earth has gone from cooling to warming there has been periods of strange weather. Looking at anomalies over 11,000 years means nothing to the earth. Reducing carbon dioxide output would not stop the earth from warming, it started doing that way before the Industrial Revolution. It could (possibly) slow down the rate of warming a bit, but it won't stop it. But the rate of warming really has not yet reached the rate of warming that came after some of the previous ice ages. Again, well before man was around.

                  I am simply not for jumping any bandwagons of either side. People on bandwagons tend to lose their objectivity. I definitely lean towards thinking that we cannot have any great effect by removing carbon dioxide output based on how I see the overall evidence, but I always remain open.

                  I guess I was right about these comment boards, it is just full of people who would rather just yell at each other than have mature discussions, so I think I will just read the articles, draw my own conclusions, and skip the comments from now on. I had hoped to find some interesting conversation.

                    #4.10 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 4:37 PM EDT

                    Sure Fred-3252208.......

                    While you dither with the last remaining bits of proof, the vast majority of the world (esp. the scientific community) is moving forward upon the (huge) preponderance of evidence.

                    Unfortunately (for you and everyone), our situation is not static. While you are paralyzed by analysis, we continue to dump mega-tons of greenhouse gases into our atmosphere, our climate warming accelerates, and the consequences accrue.

                    Prudent people realize it is far better to act upon available evidence (and logic), pursue climate friendly technologies, and assume the small risk that we overlook some esoteric feature of Earth's climate cycle. The reckless ones (i.e. you), though, blithely argue that we should simply (and conveniently) continue on our present path until disaster stands starkly before us and the reasons for it are undeniable.

                    After all, consider what we have to lose should we be wrong. Now, consider the costs to mankind if you are wrong. It's not even close.

                    BTW-If you actually are a geologist, this could well explain your slant. This is particularly so if you have a relationship with a fossil fuels industry. Please, do confess.

                      #4.11 - Wed Mar 20, 2013 8:36 AM EDT

                      Ian said... "BTW-If you actually are a geologist, this could well explain your slant. This is particularly so if you have a relationship with a fossil fuels industry. Please, do confess."

                      Your arguments all seem to be bent on hoping I have some ulterior motive or on somehow finding some way to discredit me. I can assure your paranoia that I have no stake in this and I am indeed not related in any way to the oil industry or any other industry that has a stake in global warming either. I have no "slant". When I began this I only said "I am a scientist myself" to lend credence to the fact that I know that science is not always right, which is why I keep an open mind.

                      Ian also said... "Unfortunately (for you and everyone), our situation is not static."

                      Nothing about earth has ever been and never will be static, though most people seem to expect it to be.

                      The fact is, we are coming out of an ice age. Wild fluctuations in global temps are normal, especially coming out of ice ages. We are far, far away from what the peak temperatures will be before temps turn back around (like in the mid 70's as compared to today's average temps in the mid 50's) regardless of the level of our carbon dioxide emissions. We are still going to have to adapt to much, much warmer temps. You can follow the data points over the last 11,000 years all you want but all you are doing is making correlations over a super small window of time. There are things like antibiotic resistant bacteria and increasingly stubborn flu viruses and hostile countries with nuclear weapons that pose more of a current threat and for which our money can be better spent than global warming.

                        #4.12 - Wed Mar 20, 2013 10:17 AM EDT

                        Fred-3252208......you said:

                        Quote......You can follow the data points over the last 11,000 years all you want but all you are doing is making correlations over a super small window of time. ......EndQuote

                        There are several data sets (i.e. (Vostok) ice cores) that reveal temperatures, carbon dioxide levels, and dust concentrations for a MUCH longer period than 11k years (~ 400k years). So, if you are so grossly misinformed as to believe the scientific consensus (on AGW) is based upon 11k years of data, it is little wonder you are so misguided.

                        See: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/b8/Vostok_Petit_data.svg

                        This graph clearly shows that we have reached nearly peak temperature (for an inter-glacial period) and the close relationships between temperature and carbon dioxide concentrations.

                        It has not gone unnoticed that you failed to address any of the 5 questions posed to you earlier. Please, do so that it can be known if you understand (at least) the basic science involved.

                        Although conflict of interest (i.e. association with the fossil fuels industry) is a common fallacy among AGW deniers, it is not requisite. Probably, most deniers simply do not understand climate science and/or think they know better than climate scientists. You seem to fall into both of these categories.

                        "Antibiotic resistant bacteria and increasingly stubborn flu viruses and hostile countries" all may be impacted by our warming climate. Already, we see invasive species (carrying unknown pathogens) moving to and fro our poles as a direct consequence. Several studies have predicted increased hostilities as nations battle over water and other resources becoming increasingly scarce on account of warming climate.

                        http://www.nytimes.com/2003/01/02/us/warming-is-found-to-disrupt-species.html

                        http://yaledailynews.com/blog/2012/04/11/global-warming-may-intensify-disease/

                        http://www.tuftsdaily.com/global-warming-and-future-conflict-1.2701059#.UUoifBek_ks

                        It seems you are constitutionally unable or unwilling to face facts. Our climate is warming and human activity is playing a significant and unprecedented role in that change. There remains no serious debate about this within the community of climate scientists. Even among the lay science community debate has become muted. But, there remain outliers (i.e. yourself) who, like those deniers of the relationship between tobacco use and human disease (even to their death), can never be convinced.

                        FYI: For Climate Science Journals see-> http://www.eecg.utoronto.ca/~prall/climate/journals.html

                        Here, you will find also-> list of most-cited authors on climate and:

                        Quote......

                        This site provides information on over 2400 climate scientists and authors who have signed public statement on climate change. This includes both statements calling for action to cut greenhouse gas emissions as well as ones that argue against such action.

                        Each name has a link to the person's web page at a university or national research lab, where one was found. I used Google Scholar to look up what each author had published on climate, and how widely cited their work is. This information lets us compare the credibility of those arguing against curbs on greenhouse emissions versus those supporting them.

                        The upshot of this comparison is that the climate change "skeptic" position has very few authors with any standing as climate scientists.

                        While there have been several public declarations challenging the basic science or the need for any response like emission reductions, including some with a large number of names, the great proportion of those signers turn out to have little or no qualifications on this topic.

                        .....EndQuote

                        Thanks for the opportunity to lay out some facts and references thereto.

                          #4.13 - Wed Mar 20, 2013 5:21 PM EDT

                          Hi Ian, I must say you are getting better at this. Your insult to meaningful dialog ratio is definitely lowering which is good. :-)

                          You said... "...reveal temperatures, carbon dioxide levels, and dust concentrations for a MUCH longer period than 11k years (~ 400k years)."

                          But that changes nothing. 400K years is still a very tiny spec in earths history. We're talking billions of years here. 400K years doesn't even go back 3 million years to where the last ice age apexed.

                          You also said... "It has not gone unnoticed that you failed to address any of the 5 questions..."

                          OK, #1 thru #4 are YES and #5 is NO. But you are still not following what I am saying. Take a look at the following (no, it's not a FOX article)...

                          This shows that carbon dioxide levels are at a very low level as far as the earth's history is concerned. We (humans) are only on the very end of the line in the graph on that page.

                          You also referenced... "www.nytimes.com, www.yaledailynews.com, and www.tuftsdaily.com"

                          You are proving my point. It's nice to see you can google, but you are getting your science from the news. Take a look at this example ...

                          According to this, the last time CO2 levels were this high was 5 million years ago. That sounds awful. But think about it. 3 million years ago global temps bottomed out (the last ice age). 5 million years ago was about parallel on the graph but temps were dropping. You mentioned the relationship between CO2 levels and global temps. 5 million years ago, the CO2 levels would be expected to be about what they are today.

                          You referenced ""

                          This is a nice list. But it does not change my opinion. I repeat, I do not deny temps and CO2 levels are rising over the last 400K years. I said they have been rising over the past 3 million years!! That has been my point all along.

                          Look, you have your opinion and that is fine. I simply injected a different view on this comment board along with valid reasons to back it up. I know it won't change your mind but hopefully it at least makes you think rather then just assume everyone with a different opinion is stupid and that the way to get your point across is to insult those you don't agree with.

                            #4.14 - Wed Mar 20, 2013 7:08 PM EDT

                            Sorry, it appears my links did not come through. Here are the missing links...

                            "earthguide.ucsd.edu/virtualmuseum/climatechange2/07_1.shtml"

                            "newsroom.ucla.edu/portal/ucla/last-time-carbon-dioxide-levels-111074.aspx"

                              #4.15 - Wed Mar 20, 2013 7:34 PM EDT

                              Fred-3252208.......you said:

                              Quote.....But that changes nothing. 400K years is still a very tiny spec in earths history. We're talking billions of years here. 400K years doesn't even go back 3 million years to where the last ice age apexed.......EndQuote

                              The CURRENT ice age (Pliocene-Quaternary glaciation) BEGAN about 2.58 million years ago. It most certainly did NOT "apex" at that time.

                              For the record, there have been five (known) major "ice ages":

                              1. Huronian 2400 to 2100 million years ago

                              2. Cryogenian 850 to 635 million years ago

                              3. Andean-Saharan 460 to 530 million years ago

                              4. Karoo 360 to 260 million years ago

                              5. Quaternary 2.58 million years ago to present

                              In only the last 450k years, there have been 5 glacial and 4 interglacial periods. So, your contention that we don't have enough data is simply (factually) false. We have enough data to convince the nearly unanimous majority of climate scientists that a. Earth's climate is warming faster than would be expected (based upon similar past periods) and b. that extraordinary warming is on account of human activities.

                              Obviously, we don't have the luxury to wait millions of years for the full cycle to satisfy your insistence on a "complete" data set. Still, as your appreciated answers to the 5 questions reveal, we humans are dumping a large volume of greenhouse gases (esp. carbon dioxide) into our atmosphere that would not occur except for human activity and that can ONLY have a positive (accelerating) effect upon global climate (temperature) change.

                              We don't know with certainty what atmospheric carbon dioxide levels were hundreds of millions of years ago. Furthermore, we can't know what (all) other confounding factors may have affected global temperature during those ancient times. In any case, whether current levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide are "historically low" or not is irrelevant. We DO know that those levels are currently rising and we DO know that can only result in increasingly trapped solar radiation. Whether some other factor will offset the contribution of atmospheric carbon dioxide to global warming cannot and should not be relied upon.

                              BTW--The "news" articles cited are simply easily accessible versions of information which has appeared in scientific literature (re: disease, conflict v AGW). Avail yourself of that literature if you doubt the "news" articles. Rest assured, they are bona fide and they certainly do NOT make your point. Rather, they are absolutely contrary to YOUR point. In fact, even the articles you cite seem contrary to your point (i.e. cd levels haven't been this high since 15 mya).

                              As it is too often said, "you are entitled to your own opinion, but you are not entitled to your own facts". Neither are you entitled to your own logic. The recitation of confabulations about such an important issue is intolerable. This is why many of us (on this side) lose patience with those on yours.

                              Reiteration:

                              Quote......Prudent people realize it is far better to act upon available evidence (and logic), pursue climate friendly technologies, and assume the small risk that we overlook some esoteric feature of Earth's climate cycle. The reckless ones (i.e. you), though, blithely argue that we should simply (and conveniently) continue on our present path until disaster stands starkly (and unavoidably) before us and the reasons for it are undeniable.

                              After all, consider what we have to lose should we be wrong. Now, consider the costs to mankind if you are wrong. It's not even close.......EndQuote

                                #4.16 - Thu Mar 21, 2013 3:12 PM EDT

                                >> It most certainly did NOT "apex" at that time.

                                Sorry, probably bad terminology. That's what I get for trying to watch basketball and write at the same time. :-) What I meant was, is that is when the global temperatures bottomed out (and began the glacial/interglacial cycles).

                                And thanks for the textbook list of ice ages.

                                >> In only the last 450k years, there have been 5 glacial and 4 interglacial periods. So, your contention that we don't have enough data is simply (factually) false.

                                Not at all, unless you think the earth is going to go on forever in glacial/interglacial cycles forever. That 450K years is just a tiny part of even just the current ice age. This ice age is, as you correctly stated, almost 3 million years old. Each ice age ended with a rise in global temperatures all the way up into the mid 70's. That is going to happen sooner or later. Unless you think we can keep the earth in the mid 50's forever somehow.

                                Given the charts for the last 450K years, you can see we are at or near the top of a cycle. One of two things are going to happen. Either we are going to continue on out of this ice age (on up to 70 degree averages), or it will turn around and head back into another glacial period. It's inevitable. If it's the former, there's nothing we can do about it. If it's the latter, it's still inevitable, but I am sure we'll be looking for ways to pump more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere to try to stop Siberia like conditions everywhere.

                                >> even the articles you cite seem contrary to your point (i.e. cd levels haven't been this high since 15 mya).

                                You obviously did not read what I said. I was using that as an example of the hype. The article warned that CO2 levels are at the highest levels since 5 million years (not 15). But 5 million years years ago, we were in the same vicinity as now as far as global temps, so that is not so surprising. Interestingly I can also find articles that warn that the CO2 levels are at the highest level in 8K years. So which is it?

                                >> you are entitled to your own opinion, but you are not entitled to your own facts". Neither are you entitled to your own logic.

                                Sorry but you don't have a monopoly on facts or logic. Popular or majority opinion does not make anything fact.

                                Unfortunately we will never know who is right as that will take hundreds of thousands of years to play out. Whatever we do playing around with CO2 levels is going to be no match for the forces of nature. There are so many variables at play when it comes to climate. It is interesting that earthquake frequency and intensity have both increased greatly over the last 100 years. I have a feeling that something more than just CO2 levels is going to come into play before very long. But then I guess I could correlate those earthquake increases with CO2 levels and the Industrial Revolution. Maybe lowering CO2 levels will stop the earthquakes too!!

                                  #4.17 - Thu Mar 21, 2013 9:46 PM EDT
                                  Reply

                                  Fear Fear Fear That is how they keep their jobs. The last time temps did what they are doing now I believe we went into an ice age

                                  • 1 vote
                                  Reply#5 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:20 PM EDT

                                  That was just your wife, dude...

                                  • 5 votes
                                  #5.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:40 PM EDT

                                  Deny Deny Deny. That's how you sleep at night. Head in the sand, azz in the air. Life is grand. Ignorance is bliss.

                                    #5.2 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 9:07 AM EDT
                                    Reply

                                    Just keep saying, 'Sandy was a fluke. Sandy was a fluke.'

                                    • 4 votes
                                    Reply#6 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:26 PM EDT

                                    Right along with:

                                    "Sarah Palin is smart, Sarah Palin is smart"

                                    • 6 votes
                                    #6.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:38 PM EDT

                                    1. The great New England hurricane of 1938 roared northwards into Long Island, New York at 60 mph, pushing a storm surge of 15+feet high to the coast...

                                    2. Hurrican Hazel in 1954, Cat 4, with 20' storm surge when it hit the NC/SC border. A few days later it was causing 100+MPH winds in NYC and had winds of 90+MPH in Ontario...

                                    3. Connie/Diane of 1955, only five days apart hitting the NC coast, little wind, storm surge 8+feet but lots of rain caused flooding, Connie - 12+" aqnd Diana - 10 to 20"..

                                    4. Donna of 1960, Hurricane Donna holds the record for retaining major hurricane status (Category 3 or greater in the Atlantic Basin for the longest period of time, nine days, Sept 2 to Sept 11. A storm surge of 13 ft (4.0 m) was reported at Marathon, FL and reached 11 ft (3.4 m) in New York Harbor...

                                    Storm surge depends on:

                                    1. Wind speed and fetch...

                                    2. The shape of the coastline...

                                    The correct conditions will produce mountains of water. Just ask the people north of Cape Lookout..

                                    When were the last major east coast hurricanes after these? Sandy 2012, Irene 2011, Charley 2004, Isabel 2003, Floyd 1999, Hugo 1989 & Agnes 1972. Most of these had storm surges of less than 8+feet...

                                    In other words a few more East Coast hurricans making land fall, but with much less storm surge...

                                      #6.2 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 3:23 AM EDT
                                      Reply

                                      Yes, how dare anyone research this at all?!?! Blasphemy!

                                      Why do the naysayers immediately dismiss all research, after all someday research may prove that you are right and climate change is a figment of our imaginations? Do I know if climate change is real or not? No. But I welcome all scientific research because I want a conclusion on the matter, not something that fits a political belief. It's like if you are walking down a dark tunnel and you see a light at the end, don't you want to know if that light is a train or the end of the tunnel before you continue any farther? If you are so certain that climate change isn't occurring or that it's a natural process that we shouldn't worry about at all, then you should embrace research and hope that it eventually proves your beliefs.

                                      • 5 votes
                                      Reply#7 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:48 PM EDT

                                      Does it matter really weather we (humans) have caused a rise in temperatures? Shouldn't we be taking care of the environment because its the right thing to do? Let's just say there is no global warming, its just a trend, OK. So we all know we are polluting the atmosphere right? Look at your window while driving by any major city in the USA or, pretty much any industrialized nation, any you see the damage we are doing. Isn't that enough of a reason alone to Stop Polluting?

                                      I am not a tree hugger, I realize that yes, we have to keep the world moving, and the world runs on fossil fuel. Fact. But there are amazing things we can put in place to help, even today that are available. Why don't we? Money. Plain and Simple, it will cost us, each and every person. It will cost the government, the companies, industries, and it will cost us tax payers as well. I am sure we will wait until it is too late though.

                                      • 8 votes
                                      Reply#8 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:55 PM EDT

                                      Or, maybe, just like the Bible says, there will be an increase in catastrophic natural disasters, such as hurricanes, earthquakes, etc. and other weather phenomenom as we near the end! This is a sign of the times and of Jesus' return! Believe and accept Jesus before it is too late! The devil is deceiving the masses!

                                      • 1 vote
                                      Reply#9 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:30 PM EDT

                                      Brady, just friggin' rapture already and leave us smart, non-superstitious folks in peace.

                                      Just don't be surprised that your rapture elevator is heading down, rather than up.

                                      • 6 votes
                                      #9.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:38 PM EDT

                                      Celtic, you have provided no evidence yet of any intelligence on your part. Being a troll is not being smart. Attacking people does not demonstrate intelligence. If you have something worthwhile to add to the conversation, then do so already. If not, then shut up.

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #9.2 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:52 PM EDT

                                      wake up and look around...we're all in hell already! This is just our prespective on reality...the reality is, we're all dead already, and we all are in hell...any other explaination on why the world has so many killers, druggies, whores, natural disasters, pain, suffering...the list goes on? so sit back and stop worrying.......

                                        #9.3 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 11:04 PM EDT

                                        Dear Mark,

                                        Terrible things happen on this earth, there are killers, druggies, whores, disasters, pain and suffering, just as you mention...It wasn't originally designed this way, God never intended for man to sin. God did not create hell for us, but for the devil and his angels, and I can tell you that hell is much worse than "hell on earth". It is a place where it is so hot, living things could not exist, the torment of hell is the most terrible thing, complete separation from all that is good, because the absense of God (light) is hell, demons torment those that are there, people are burning in literal fire, there flesh is ripped open, yet they do not bleed, because there is an absense of blood (life) in the body, much more terrible than earth. On earth, at least you can die to escape the pain of torment, in hell it is forever, infinite everlasting pain. Evil exists because the devil is evil, and evil lies within the heart of man, just as good lies within the heart of man. God, the designer, has instilled in every mans heart, the ability to find, and accept him, his love forever induring, should the individual seek with an open mind and heart, to find him. If not for evil, we would not have anything to compare good to. The reason God sent Jesus to the cross, to die for our sin, is because man was lost, and needed a redeeming way to get to be saved. Jesus paid the price for you, and me, God himself, sent his only son, to pardon us, to provide a way to him. The facts are out there should one seek to find them. Ask God to reveal himself to you, ask him into your heart, accept Jesus as your savior, and see what happens...

                                          #9.4 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 11:04 AM EDT
                                          Reply

                                          Everything the scientists and global warming crowd has been saying for over a decade. Welcome to reality.

                                          I just hope the same fools who called it a hoax, are the ones run over by tidal surges... To me that would be divine justice.

                                          • 5 votes
                                          Reply#10 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:35 PM EDT

                                          It couldn't happen too soon.

                                          The GOP shallow end of the gene pool must be flushed and cleansed.

                                          • 6 votes
                                          #10.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:40 PM EDT

                                          Ever see Idiocracy?

                                          Personally I think we're living it.

                                          I can't even be bothered to argue with these anti-science, willfully ignorant dummies or the even the obvious troll plants. It's a waste of energy.

                                          • 4 votes
                                          #10.2 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:51 PM EDT

                                          MoreJustice

                                          "Everything the scientists and global warming crowd has been saying for over a decade. Welcome to reality."

                                          REALITY -

                                          1. No Global Temperature Rise, Global Warming Standstill May Last For 20 Years...

                                          The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released Mar 2013. The new data, compiled from more than 3,000 measuring points on land and sea. The regular data collected on global temperature is called Hadcrut 4, as it is jointly issued by the Met Office’s Hadley Centre and Prof Jones’s Climatic Research Unit...

                                          Since 1880, when reliable temperature records began to be kept across most of the globe, the world has warmed by about 0.75 degrees Celsius...

                                          The current data reveals, that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures...

                                          Read more: .dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-reveals-Met-Office-report-quietly-released--chart-prove-it.html#ixzz2Ny7UMuVM

                                          In other words - "Everything the scientists and global warming crowd has been saying for over a decade." HAS been proven to be FALSE...

                                            #10.3 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 4:52 AM EDT

                                            See what I mean?

                                              #10.4 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 6:46 AM EDT
                                              Reply

                                              La La La La La

                                              Science is bad

                                              GOP is good

                                              Stupidity rules

                                              • 6 votes
                                              Reply#11 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:36 PM EDT

                                              People should ask themselves why hydrogen fuel cells are being suppressed by the Oil cartels. Other countries are running their transportation systems on them. This tech has the potential to change everything, yet most people don't even know what it is, or how it works.

                                              PS, it doesn't run on tanks of hydrogen that can blow up. It runs on water, and that's what comes out the exhaust. Its as clean as it gets.

                                              • 2 votes
                                              Reply#12 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:42 PM EDT

                                              Prototypes are in use in W FL. today. It's a tech that is already here. Agree completely.

                                                #12.1 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 9:26 PM EDT

                                                The WORLD is converting to CNG not HYDROGEN...

                                                There is ZERO infrastructure to support hydrogen use by the general public...

                                                The USA currently has OVER 100+years of NG reserves and the infrastructure to support its distribution...

                                                The USA has OVER 500+years of hydrated methane located in their Continental Shelf...

                                                But your fine Obama is pushing EV that depend on COAL (USA-40+%) generated electricity and China for 'rare earths'... Ha! Ha!

                                                  #12.2 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 3:31 AM EDT

                                                  1) You can generate electricity from natural gas as easily as from coal.

                                                  2) You can generate hydrogen from electricity.

                                                  3) Electrical infrastructure is even more prevalent than CNG.

                                                    #12.3 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 1:39 PM EDT
                                                    Reply

                                                    You can stick your head in the sand or choose to be proactive.... the evidence is as clear as the nose on your face if you're bright enough

                                                    • 1 vote
                                                    Reply#13 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:49 PM EDT

                                                    I see a Cat 5 storm in the East Coast's future. Dunes of sand and sweaty politicians in FEMA parkas will be no match for this storm's fury.

                                                    Can anybody say, "I have ocean front property in Mansfield, MA?"

                                                    • 1 vote
                                                    Reply#14 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:50 PM EDT

                                                    And exactly what are we supposed to do about this??

                                                    Start insulting each other , like too many rats in a cage???

                                                    Or make stronger nationwide irrigation/ flood/ levy control systems, stronger power systems, stronger and more well advised building standards and locations. Perhaps encourage energy from numerous sources. But that takes money, and we won't do it.

                                                    It would eliminate our unemployment problem, if a new conservation corps was instituted to reinforce our infrastructure .

                                                    Take monolithic construction as an example. We lose homes to tornadoes regularly , and rebuild with the same match stick construction. When for 10% more , we could have rebuilt to be far more wind & fire resistant. And saved on insurance costs.

                                                    We do not use the tech we already have available, to mediate future disaster.

                                                      Reply#15 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 9:23 PM EDT

                                                      Sad part about journalism these days: Study=Truth

                                                      Articles like these, that hype up a particiular study, and then present it as truth, are total BS stories. To be scientifically valid, two independent studies must come to the same conclusion on a subject, or matter. Quoting a single study, as most of our news outlets now do, means nothing scientifically. Might as well print that a study finds that the sky is really green....it means about the same as this article does.

                                                        Reply#16 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:59 PM EDT

                                                        I believe atmospheric carbon could be recycled into plant life, but not at the same time the forests are being denuded.
                                                        It would take a massive replanting of the temperate and subtropical zones, and a cessation of destruction of the tropical rainforests. Maybe even photo plankton growth in the oceans. But, this path back to 250 ppm C is unlikely until the dismissers open up their brains, and begin trusting science as the best source of options.

                                                          Reply#17 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 11:00 PM EDT

                                                          They not to good at predicting the weather from day to day and hurricanes are just a guess.

                                                            Reply#18 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 11:15 PM EDT

                                                            Are these guys in league with the moron climatologists that consistently predict between 1 and 1000 major hurricanes every year because of climate change? Predict the weather, ACCURATELY, 30 days from now and then I'll start listening to all these doomsday prognostications.

                                                              Reply#19 - Mon Mar 18, 2013 11:53 PM EDT

                                                              Before we all get too scientific and spooky on Monster Storms, we need to pause a moment and make sure there isn't a very simple solution as to why so much storm surge damage.

                                                              I live on the MS Gulf Coast, a mere 1000 ft from the water and took 17 ft of storm surge - 2 ft through my home. I have been in and around this area since Hurricane Camille - the last 200+ MPH Cat 5 storm. My area took virtually no storm surge damage with Hurricane Camille. Why the major difference. Simply put - The path of the storm and the forward speed.

                                                              Hurricane Katrina hit my area with winds at/under 110 MPH, but the path was a direct line across the Gulf from the Yucatan Peninsula to the LA/MS Gulf Coast. The key element in the tremendous storm surge was the fact that the storm was a 'slow mover' - it took over 5-6 days to cross the Gulf. Every day the right-quadrant was pushing water toward the coast. Hurricane Ivan in 2004 took a direct path and hit the AL/FL coast with similar damage - slow mover pushing water for days. But, take Hurricane Camille, at 200+MPH winds - this storm was a fast mover and on a diagional path from Florida into the Bay St Louis area of MS. Yes, the winds push water to make high surf - 10 ft waves crashing into shore, but the eastern portion of the MS coast suffered very little storm surge because the build-up effect did not happen. And doesn't happen with fast moving storms.

                                                              Super Storm Sandy orginated in the Carribean south of Cuba/Florida and took a strange direction backing into the Atlantic and slowly moved all the way up the Florida coast and Eastern Seaboard taking several days to reach the NJ/NY area. Again 5-6 days of pushing water in the direction of the area that suffered the most surge. Not many storms that strike the NJ/NY coastal area take a direct route and take 5-6 days to reach the target. Generally, the storms that do strike both coastal areas usually take a indirect, glancing blow - a major reason why storm surge generally is not a major concern.

                                                              No big scientific analysis needed - if the storm is a slow mover, takes a direct path to your front door and is pushing water for 5-6 days, even if only in the 90-100 MPH range - you are going to see storm surge at a higher than normal level.

                                                              The mantra on our coast is 'I don't care about CAT # or Wind Speed, just give me a fast mover at 15 MPH or higher."

                                                              • 1 vote
                                                              Reply#20 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 12:02 AM EDT

                                                              What the hell are you talking about.

                                                              • 1 vote
                                                              #20.1 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 3:14 AM EDT
                                                              Reply

                                                              Just remember...statistics don't lie...people do!

                                                                Reply#21 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 12:11 AM EDT

                                                                NBC had to go to Denmark for these lies. After Katrina the same crap was spouted. For 8 years we have hardly a hurricane season. Now they go up the East coast. Like the 1950s. More people live on the coast. More destruction. It is not a big deal. Have insurance or build some where else.

                                                                  Reply#22 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 12:19 AM EDT

                                                                  Says someone from NM.

                                                                    #22.1 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 6:47 AM EDT
                                                                    Reply

                                                                    "It is pretty clear" that climate change must affect hurricane activity "somehow," Aslak Grinsted, a climate scientist at the University of Copenhagen, told NBC News. "But it is not clear exactly how."

                                                                    They don't know how because climate change is part of the natural, as in "nature", existence of the Earth. Is mankind exacerbating it a little bit? Probably, but we've only been at it about 150 years; hard to prove causality with such a tiny bit of data. Nature does its own climate change tweaking as well, with volcanic eruptions all the way up to the last super-volcanic eruption of Mt. Toba 74,000 years ago. It killed off 90% of humanity, bottle-necking our DNA, as well as winnowing out untold other creatures, by darkening the skies for years. The "little ice age" that ended in the late 1700s coincided with a 300 year period of low sunspot activity...is that scientific evidence of causality?

                                                                    All the new super-computers, laser optics and rectal oceanographic thermometers, and climate scientists still cannot produce a model to run on those 10+ petaflop computers that makes any sense!

                                                                    The most amazing thing to me is the lack of explanation of all of the 20+ foot surge storms of the past 150 years.

                                                                    "Superstorm Sandy"...overblown hype. Meh. Let the climate scientists come on down and spend a few years in Florida or the Gulf coast or southeast China to see some real cyclonic action.

                                                                      Reply#23 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 12:22 AM EDT

                                                                      the genie is out of the bottle,,

                                                                      the airforce scattered chemicals into the atmosphere trying to control weather conditions of our enemies,,

                                                                      so now we're all victoms of the military industrial complex.... game over,,,,

                                                                        Reply#24 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 1:57 AM EDT

                                                                        For all you skeptics out there who say its part of the earths natural cycle. According to you, even if Global Warming is real, its impossible to prove because if all the data indicates it you will point to some time in the planets past when temps were just as high, or co2 was just as high etc, etc. So because of the ignorance of people like you, if it is real, which all data says it is, we are all screwed because of you inability to think properly. We have the mechanism, we have the data, and now we have the results, as predicted. If you cant understand the fallacy of your logic then we are all doomed. According to you, its literally impossible to prove that its man made. Even if it is. Lets take for instance that it is in-fact man made. How do you prove that? List the ways that don't include just waiting to see if the world ends. Then see if we collected data and tested those methods on your list. then tell me what the results were. Basically, all u imbeciles out there who question global warming, I have one question. If it is real, what evidence is necessary for you to see other than the actual consequences that are foretold if it is real? The data is abundant. Your just too ignorant to understand it.

                                                                        • 1 vote
                                                                        Reply#25 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 3:12 AM EDT

                                                                        1. No Global Temperature Rise, Global Warming Standstill May Last For 20 Years...

                                                                        The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released Mar 2013. The new data, compiled from more than 3,000 measuring points on land and sea. The regular data collected on global temperature is called Hadcrut 4, as it is jointly issued by the Met Office's Hadley Centre and Prof Jones's Climatic Research Unit...

                                                                        Since 1880, when reliable temperature records began to be kept across most of the globe, the world has warmed by about 0.75 degrees Celsius...

                                                                        The current data reveals, that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures...

                                                                        2. According to the thousands of ARGOS buoys now spread across the Worlds Oceans. The Sea surface temperature averages are now @ 2003 levels...

                                                                        3. Data from the Rutgers University Global Snow Lab show that:

                                                                        A. The Dec 2012 average, snow covered the most area on record, from data dating back to 1966. This was OVER 1+Million Sq kilometer higher than the average anomalies and has been INCREASING in coverage since the lowest recorded in 1980. During Jan 2013, the Northern Hemisphere snow coverage was @ the HIGHEST levels on record...

                                                                        B. A 19 Feb 2010 report - Snow extent in Northern Hemisphere reaches second highest level. 52,166,840 million sq. km or 20,141,729 square miles...

                                                                        C. January 2008 - Snow extent in Northern Hemisphere had an area coverage of 49.78 million sq. km...

                                                                        The winter snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere has been steadily increasing almost every year for more than 33+years...

                                                                        reference - http:// climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_vis.php?ui_year=2010&ui_month=1&ui_set=1

                                                                        4. Through the month of Feb 2013, the Arctic gained 766,000 square kilometers of ice (296,000 square miles), which is 38% higher than the 1979 to 2000 average for the month...

                                                                        The Arctic sea ice has now returned back into the AVERAGE ZONE of 2 deviations...

                                                                        5. The Antarctic sea ice was quite extensive throughout the austral summer period. Monthly average sea ice extent for February 2013 was 3.83 million square kilometers (1.48 million square miles) and minimum daily sea ice extent for the Antarctic region was 3.68 million square kilometers (1.42 million square miles) on February 20. Sea Ice extent was also well above average for the Ross Sea region relative to the entire 1979 to 2013 satellite record...

                                                                        See reference - // nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

                                                                        According to http:// nsidc.org/cryosphere/sotc/snow_extent.html

                                                                        "We all associate snowstorms with cold weather, but snow's influence on the weather and climate continues long after the storm ends. Because snow is highly reflective, a vast amount of sunlight that hits the snow is reflected back into space instead of warming the planet. Without snow cover, the ground absorbs about four to six times more of the Sun's energy. The presence or absence of snow controls patterns of heating and cooling over Earth's land surface more than any other single land surface feature..."

                                                                          #25.1 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 5:25 AM EDT

                                                                          Nova's Earth From Space is instructive.

                                                                            #25.2 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 6:53 AM EDT
                                                                            Reply

                                                                            This is the same planet where the avarage temperature has changed for over 15 years.

                                                                              Reply#26 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 5:19 AM EDT

                                                                              In an April 2012 interview, aired on MSNBC, Lovelock stated:

                                                                              "The problem is we don't know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books – mine included – because it looked clear-cut, but it hasn’t happened;" he continues.

                                                                              "The climate is doing its usual tricks. There’s nothing much really happening yet. We were supposed to be halfway toward a frying world now," he said.

                                                                              "The world has not warmed up very much since the millennium. Twelve years is a reasonable time ... it (the temperature) has stayed almost constant, whereas it should have been rising - carbon dioxide is rising, no question about that", he added.....[32]

                                                                              Actually the global temperature has INCREASED 0.75 degrees C since 1880...

                                                                              1. In Jun 2012, a NASA climate study announced that the warm middle Miocene era (16 Ma (million years ago), had CO2 levels of 400 to 600 ppm (parts per million).

                                                                              2. During the glacieraction of Antarctica (38 Ma) the CO2 levels were about 760 ppm, according to NASA.

                                                                              3. During the Jurassic Period (201.3± 0.6 Ma to 145± 4 Ma), average CO2 concentrations were about 1800 ppm or about 4.7 times higher than today and temperatures were just 3°C higher than now.

                                                                              4. The highest concentrations of CO2 during all of the Paleozoic Era occurred during the Cambrian Period (543 to 505 Ma) nearly 7000 ppm -- about 18 times higher than today...

                                                                              The high levels of CO2 had several things in common:

                                                                              1. Little plant growth on the exposed land. As the plants increased the Earths CO2 levels have DECREASED...

                                                                              2. The land masses were transitioning from 5% of the Earths surface to the present 28+%...

                                                                              3. The Calcification of the Oceans have maintained its pH levels and CO2 absorption ability...

                                                                              IMO - The World is DECREASING in heat content...

                                                                              Oct. 2, 1998 — An analysis of Antarctic ice core data indicates an abrupt climate warming occurred there about 12,500 years ago, it was 4 degrees Celsius (7 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than today. This data also corresponds with the ice data from the Arctic & Greenland... see ref - .sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/10/981002082033.htm & das.uwyo.edu/geerts/cwx/notes/chap01/iccore.html & en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Vostok_Petit_data.svg

                                                                                #26.1 - Tue Mar 19, 2013 5:44 AM EDT
                                                                                Reply
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